Alternative Explorer Tables for Melanoma Mortality

Trends in U.S. Mortalityc Using the Joinpoint Regression Program
1975-2020 With up to Five Joinpoints

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For details on the final model selection, please see the Selected Model section on the Melanoma Example page.

Long-Term Trends in U.S. Age-Adjusted Mortality Rates, By Both Sexes, All Races (includes Hispanic), All Age - 1975-2020

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^ Indicates the final selected model.

U.S. Cancer Mortalityc, 1975-2020
Race Model Joinpoint Trend 1 Joinpoint Trend 2 Joinpoint Trend 3 Joinpoint Trend 4 Joinpoint Trend 5 Joinpoint Trend 6 AAPC
d		 Comparability Ratio Estimate
Years APC Years APC Years APC Years APC Years APC Years APC 2011-20 2016-20
All Races Jump^ 1975-77 4.7 1977-88 1.4* 1988-10 0.4* 2010-14 -1.5 2014-17 -7.1* 2017-20 -1.0 -3.2* -2.5* 0.9512&
All Races Comparability Ratio 1975-88 1.6* 1988-13 0.2* 2013-17 -6.5* 2017-20 -1.2         -3.3* -2.5* 0.9677&
All Races Standard Joinpoint 1975-88 1.6* 1988-13 0.0 2013-17 -6.3* 2017-20 -1.3         -3.3* -2.6*  
White Jump^ 1975-77 4.8 1977-87 1.6* 1987-10 0.5* 2010-14 -1.3 2014-17 -6.9* 2017-20 -0.8 -3.0* -2.3* 0.9514&
White Comparability Ratio 1975-87 1.9* 1987-13 0.4* 2013-17 -6.3* 2017-20 -1.0         -3.1* -2.3* 0.9677&
White Standard Joinpoint 1975-88 1.8* 1988-13 0.2* 2013-17 -6.0* 2017-20 -1.1         -3.0* -2.3*  
Black Jump 1975-10 -0.3* 2010-20 -4.2*                 -4.2* -4.2* 0.9040&
Black Comparability Ratio^ 1975-10 -0.6* 2010-20 -4.2*                 -4.2* -4.2* 0.9677&
Black Standard Joinpoint 1975-10 -0.7* 2010-20 -4.2*                 -4.2* -4.2*  

Long-Term Trends in U.S. Age-Adjusted Mortality Rates, By Males, All Races (includes Hispanic), All Age - 1975-2020

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^ Indicates the final selected model.

U.S. Cancer Mortalityc, 1975-2020
Race Model Joinpoint Trend 1 Joinpoint Trend 2 Joinpoint Trend 3 Joinpoint Trend 4 Joinpoint Trend 5 Joinpoint Trend 6 AAPC
d		 Comparability Ratio Estimate
Years APC Years APC Years APC Years APC Years APC Years APC 2011-20 2016-20
All Races Jump^ 1975-87 2.4* 1987-09 0.9* 2009-14 -1.3 2014-17 -7.6* 2017-20 -1.3     -3.4* -2.9* 0.9280&
All Races Comparability Ratio 1975-88 2.3* 1988-10 0.6* 2010-14 -1.5 2014-17 -7.5* 2017-20 -1.3     -3.5* -2.9* 0.9677&
All Races Standard Joinpoint 1975-89 2.3* 1989-13 0.3* 2013-17 -6.8* 2017-20 -1.5         -3.5* -2.9*  
White Jump^ 1975-87 2.5* 1987-09 1.0* 2009-14 -1.0 2014-17 -7.4* 2017-20 -1.1     -3.2* -2.7* 0.9279&
White Comparability Ratio 1975-89 2.4* 1989-13 0.6* 2013-17 -6.7* 2017-20 -1.3         -3.3* -2.7* 0.9677&
White Standard Joinpoint 1975-89 2.4* 1989-13 0.4* 2013-17 -6.5* 2017-20 -1.4         -3.3* -2.7*  
Black Jump 1975-20 -1.6*                     -1.6* -1.6* 1.1675&
Black Comparability Ratio^ 1975-13 -0.7* 2013-20 -5.3*                 -4.3* -5.3* 0.9677&
Black Standard Joinpoint 1975-20 -1.1*                     -1.1* -1.1*  

Long-Term Trends in U.S. Age-Adjusted Mortality Rates, By Females, All Races (includes Hispanic), All Age - 1975-2020

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^ Indicates the final selected model.

U.S. Cancer Mortalityc, 1975-2020
Race Model Joinpoint Trend 1 Joinpoint Trend 2 Joinpoint Trend 3 Joinpoint Trend 4 Joinpoint Trend 5 Joinpoint Trend 6 AAPC
d		 Comparability Ratio Estimate
Years APC Years APC Years APC Years APC Years APC Years APC 2011-20 2016-20
All Races Jump 1975-88 0.8* 1988-12 -0.5* 2012-20 -3.8*             -3.4* -3.8* 0.9851&
All Races Comparability Ratio^ 1975-86 1.0* 1986-12 -0.3* 2012-20 -3.9*             -3.5* -3.9* 0.9677&
All Races Standard Joinpoint 1975-88 0.8* 1988-12 -0.5* 2012-20 -3.8*             -3.4* -3.8*  
White Jump 1975-86 1.1* 1986-12 -0.2* 2012-20 -3.6*             -3.2* -3.6* 0.9864&
White Comparability Ratio^ 1975-86 1.1* 1986-12 -0.1 2012-20 -3.6*             -3.2* -3.6* 0.9677&
White Standard Joinpoint 1975-86 1.1* 1986-12 -0.3* 2012-20 -3.5*             -3.2* -3.5*  
Black Jump 1975-07 0.4 2007-20 -3.8*                 -3.8* -3.8* 0.7980&
Black Comparability Ratio^ 1975-98 0.3 1998-20 -2.6*                 -2.6* -2.6* 0.9677&
Black Standard Joinpoint 1975-97 0.3 1997-20 -2.7*                 -2.7* -2.7*  

Footnotes

Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.9.1.0, April 2022, National Cancer Institute. (https://surveillance.cancer.gov/joinpoint/).

The APC is the Annual Percent Change based on rates age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1130).

c Trends are from US Mortality Files, National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

d The AAPC is the Average Annual Percent Change and is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint.

* The APC/AAPC is significantly different from zero (p<.05).

- Joinpoint regression line analysis could not be performed on data series.

& Significant at level 0.05 for test of Comparability Ratio = 1.

Last Updated: 12 Mar, 2024