Alternative Explorer Tables for Melanoma Mortality
Trends in U.S. Mortalityc Using the Joinpoint Regression Program
1975-2020 With up to Five Joinpoints
Related Items:
For details on the final model selection, please see the Selected Model section on the Melanoma Example page.
- Long-Term Trends in U.S. Age-Adjusted Mortality Rates, By Both Sexes, All Races (includes Hispanic), All Age - 1975-2020
- Long-Term Trends in U.S. Age-Adjusted Mortality Rates, By Males, All Races (includes Hispanic), All Age - 1975-2020
- Long-Term Trends in U.S. Age-Adjusted Mortality Rates, By Females, All Races (includes Hispanic), All Age - 1975-2020
Long-Term Trends in U.S. Age-Adjusted Mortality Rates, By Both Sexes, All Races (includes Hispanic), All Age - 1975-2020
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^ Indicates the final selected model.
Race | Model | Joinpoint Trend 1 | Joinpoint Trend 2 | Joinpoint Trend 3 | Joinpoint Trend 4 | Joinpoint Trend 5 | Joinpoint Trend 6 | AAPC d |
Comparability Ratio Estimate | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | 2011-20 | 2016-20 | ||||
All Races | Jump^ | 1975-77 | 4.7 | 1977-88 | 1.4* | 1988-10 | 0.4* | 2010-14 | -1.5 | 2014-17 | -7.1* | 2017-20 | -1.0 | -3.2* | -2.5* | 0.9512& | |
All Races | Comparability Ratio | 1975-88 | 1.6* | 1988-13 | 0.2* | 2013-17 | -6.5* | 2017-20 | -1.2 | -3.3* | -2.5* | 0.9677& | |||||
All Races | Standard Joinpoint | 1975-88 | 1.6* | 1988-13 | 0.0 | 2013-17 | -6.3* | 2017-20 | -1.3 | -3.3* | -2.6* | ||||||
White | Jump^ | 1975-77 | 4.8 | 1977-87 | 1.6* | 1987-10 | 0.5* | 2010-14 | -1.3 | 2014-17 | -6.9* | 2017-20 | -0.8 | -3.0* | -2.3* | 0.9514& | |
White | Comparability Ratio | 1975-87 | 1.9* | 1987-13 | 0.4* | 2013-17 | -6.3* | 2017-20 | -1.0 | -3.1* | -2.3* | 0.9677& | |||||
White | Standard Joinpoint | 1975-88 | 1.8* | 1988-13 | 0.2* | 2013-17 | -6.0* | 2017-20 | -1.1 | -3.0* | -2.3* | ||||||
Black | Jump | 1975-10 | -0.3* | 2010-20 | -4.2* | -4.2* | -4.2* | 0.9040& | |||||||||
Black | Comparability Ratio^ | 1975-10 | -0.6* | 2010-20 | -4.2* | -4.2* | -4.2* | 0.9677& | |||||||||
Black | Standard Joinpoint | 1975-10 | -0.7* | 2010-20 | -4.2* | -4.2* | -4.2* |
Long-Term Trends in U.S. Age-Adjusted Mortality Rates, By Males, All Races (includes Hispanic), All Age - 1975-2020
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^ Indicates the final selected model.
Race | Model | Joinpoint Trend 1 | Joinpoint Trend 2 | Joinpoint Trend 3 | Joinpoint Trend 4 | Joinpoint Trend 5 | Joinpoint Trend 6 | AAPC d |
Comparability Ratio Estimate | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | 2011-20 | 2016-20 | ||||
All Races | Jump^ | 1975-87 | 2.4* | 1987-09 | 0.9* | 2009-14 | -1.3 | 2014-17 | -7.6* | 2017-20 | -1.3 | -3.4* | -2.9* | 0.9280& | |||
All Races | Comparability Ratio | 1975-88 | 2.3* | 1988-10 | 0.6* | 2010-14 | -1.5 | 2014-17 | -7.5* | 2017-20 | -1.3 | -3.5* | -2.9* | 0.9677& | |||
All Races | Standard Joinpoint | 1975-89 | 2.3* | 1989-13 | 0.3* | 2013-17 | -6.8* | 2017-20 | -1.5 | -3.5* | -2.9* | ||||||
White | Jump^ | 1975-87 | 2.5* | 1987-09 | 1.0* | 2009-14 | -1.0 | 2014-17 | -7.4* | 2017-20 | -1.1 | -3.2* | -2.7* | 0.9279& | |||
White | Comparability Ratio | 1975-89 | 2.4* | 1989-13 | 0.6* | 2013-17 | -6.7* | 2017-20 | -1.3 | -3.3* | -2.7* | 0.9677& | |||||
White | Standard Joinpoint | 1975-89 | 2.4* | 1989-13 | 0.4* | 2013-17 | -6.5* | 2017-20 | -1.4 | -3.3* | -2.7* | ||||||
Black | Jump | 1975-20 | -1.6* | -1.6* | -1.6* | 1.1675& | |||||||||||
Black | Comparability Ratio^ | 1975-13 | -0.7* | 2013-20 | -5.3* | -4.3* | -5.3* | 0.9677& | |||||||||
Black | Standard Joinpoint | 1975-20 | -1.1* | -1.1* | -1.1* |
Long-Term Trends in U.S. Age-Adjusted Mortality Rates, By Females, All Races (includes Hispanic), All Age - 1975-2020
Download Printer-friendly PDF (PDF, 134 KB)
^ Indicates the final selected model.
Race | Model | Joinpoint Trend 1 | Joinpoint Trend 2 | Joinpoint Trend 3 | Joinpoint Trend 4 | Joinpoint Trend 5 | Joinpoint Trend 6 | AAPC d |
Comparability Ratio Estimate | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | 2011-20 | 2016-20 | ||||
All Races | Jump | 1975-88 | 0.8* | 1988-12 | -0.5* | 2012-20 | -3.8* | -3.4* | -3.8* | 0.9851& | |||||||
All Races | Comparability Ratio^ | 1975-86 | 1.0* | 1986-12 | -0.3* | 2012-20 | -3.9* | -3.5* | -3.9* | 0.9677& | |||||||
All Races | Standard Joinpoint | 1975-88 | 0.8* | 1988-12 | -0.5* | 2012-20 | -3.8* | -3.4* | -3.8* | ||||||||
White | Jump | 1975-86 | 1.1* | 1986-12 | -0.2* | 2012-20 | -3.6* | -3.2* | -3.6* | 0.9864& | |||||||
White | Comparability Ratio^ | 1975-86 | 1.1* | 1986-12 | -0.1 | 2012-20 | -3.6* | -3.2* | -3.6* | 0.9677& | |||||||
White | Standard Joinpoint | 1975-86 | 1.1* | 1986-12 | -0.3* | 2012-20 | -3.5* | -3.2* | -3.5* | ||||||||
Black | Jump | 1975-07 | 0.4 | 2007-20 | -3.8* | -3.8* | -3.8* | 0.7980& | |||||||||
Black | Comparability Ratio^ | 1975-98 | 0.3 | 1998-20 | -2.6* | -2.6* | -2.6* | 0.9677& | |||||||||
Black | Standard Joinpoint | 1975-97 | 0.3 | 1997-20 | -2.7* | -2.7* | -2.7* |
Footnotes
Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.9.1.0, April 2022, National Cancer Institute. (https://surveillance.cancer.gov/joinpoint/).
The APC is the Annual Percent Change based on rates age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1130).
c Trends are from US Mortality Files, National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
d The AAPC is the Average Annual Percent Change and is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint.
* The APC/AAPC is significantly different from zero (p<.05).
- Joinpoint regression line analysis could not be performed on data series.
& Significant at level 0.05 for test of Comparability Ratio = 1.